earnings estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.00

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.07
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 6.18 6.85 5.51 6.18 2 -- -- 1.49
Annual 12/1/21 6.01 7.04 5.01 6.15 9 1 -- 6.90
Annual 12/1/20 3.03 4.20 2.01 2.99 8 -- 1 -2.24
Quarterly 3/1/21 0.82 0.87 0.77 0.82 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -0.35 0.05 -1.16 -0.40 9 -- -- 6.47
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.29 1.83 0.51 1.46 8 -- -- -4.74
Quarterly 12/1/20 2.88 3.37 2.54 2.79 8 -- -- -0.77
Long Term Growth 3.95 4.90 3.00 3.95 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 6.46 6.56 -1.56
Annual 12/1/18 6.29 6.03 4.25
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.64 2.15
Quarterly 3/1/20 -0.81 0.24 -431.42
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.81 2.89 -2.83
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.87 1.70 9.95
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 0.81 17.10

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 20.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 24.23 24.23 24.23 24.23 1 -- -- 5.21
Annual 12/1/21 23.30 23.30 23.30 23.30 1 -- -- 4.70
Annual 12/1/20 19.92 19.92 19.92 19.92 1 -- -- -2.45

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 20.02 19.59 2.22
Annual 12/1/18 19.05 18.62 2.31
Annual 12/1/17 18.17 18.08 0.46

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 8.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 9.24 9.24 9.24 9.24 1 -- -- 2.16
Annual 12/1/21 7.92 8.19 7.64 7.92 2 -- -- 0.32
Annual 12/1/20 4.95 5.46 4.44 4.95 2 -- -- 2.41
Quarterly 3/1/21 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -0.45 -0.41 -0.49 -0.45 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -0.08 0.81 -0.97 -0.08 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 4.97 7.17 2.76 4.97 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 8.70 8.76 -0.72
Annual 12/1/18 7.63 7.57 0.80
Annual 12/1/17 6.85 7.58 -9.62
Quarterly 3/1/20 -0.33 0.32 -203.13
Quarterly 12/1/19 7.13 2.90 145.86
Quarterly 9/1/19 -0.70 1.97 -135.56
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.50 1.08 39.47

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 1.08 2.16 -- 1.08 2 -- -- -34.28
Annual 12/1/21 1.12 2.40 -- 1.04 4 -- -- -20.74
Annual 12/1/20 0.45 0.61 -- 0.60 4 -- -- -6.12
Quarterly 3/1/21 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2.00 2.01 -0.25
Annual 12/1/18 1.80 1.80 -0.09
Annual 12/1/17 1.48 1.48 --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.60 0.42 44.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.50 0.50 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.20
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.20

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 401.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 386.60 386.94 386.26 386.60 2 -- -- 4.96
Annual 12/1/21 371.15 388.00 354.00 375.24 7 1 -- 8.77
Annual 12/1/20 196.63 227.76 182.50 188.13 4 -- -- 0.03
Quarterly 3/1/21 56.06 57.12 55.00 56.06 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -12.99 11.90 -49.00 -11.14 6 -- -- 2.68
Quarterly 9/1/20 79.87 108.80 36.59 93.08 7 -- -- -4.96
Quarterly 12/1/20 168.34 186.30 158.48 165.01 7 -- -- -0.64

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 401.00 408.43 -1.82
Annual 12/1/18 407.30 397.69 2.42
Annual 12/1/17 444.80 440.95 0.87
Quarterly 3/1/20 -26.38 25.34 -204.11
Quarterly 12/1/19 162.20 173.18 -6.34
Quarterly 9/1/19 114.67 108.65 5.54
Quarterly 6/1/19 63.80 56.15 13.62

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 497.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 485.97 485.97 485.97 485.97 1 -- -- 5.00
Annual 12/1/21 454.09 470.30 445.00 450.54 4 -- -- 1.61
Annual 12/1/20 298.99 321.00 278.00 298.48 4 -- -- 0.44
Quarterly 3/1/21 76.75 76.75 76.75 76.75 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 27.28 32.40 22.16 27.28 2 -- -- 30.40
Quarterly 9/1/20 122.21 129.90 114.51 122.21 2 -- -- -4.03
Quarterly 12/1/20 195.40 208.50 182.30 195.40 2 -- -- -1.21

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 497.10 494.77 0.47
Annual 12/1/18 495.50 482.27 2.74
Annual 12/1/17 529.20 520.27 1.72
Quarterly 3/1/20 -3.01 43.87 -106.86
Quarterly 12/1/19 188.00 197.14 -4.64
Quarterly 9/1/19 138.10 130.13 6.12
Quarterly 6/1/19 86.80 78.79 10.16

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.85
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 6.85 6.85 6.85 6.85 1 -- -- 7.37
Annual 12/1/21 5.93 6.21 5.45 6.04 4 1 -- 14.75
Annual 12/1/20 1.40 1.54 1.26 1.40 2 -- -- -21.50
Quarterly 3/1/21 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -0.28 0.02 -0.49 -0.32 4 -- -- 19.12
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.27 1.80 0.81 1.24 4 -- -- -8.58
Quarterly 12/1/20 2.89 3.22 2.76 2.80 4 -- -- -1.28

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 5.85 6.10 -4.10
Annual 12/1/18 6.00 5.78 3.87
Annual 12/1/17 6.24 5.65 10.44
Quarterly 3/1/20 -1.82 0.24 -858.33
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.82 2.89 -2.42
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.34 1.71 -21.41
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.97 0.82 18.78

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 380.36
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 190.73 190.73 190.73 190.73 1 -- -- -29.65
Annual 12/1/21 194.74 194.74 194.74 194.74 1 -- -- -25.25
Annual 12/1/20 326.03 326.03 326.03 326.03 1 -- -- 6.45

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 380.36 416.62 -8.70
Annual 12/1/18 423.19 466.35 -9.26
Annual 12/1/17 438.81 447.92 -2.03

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 288.98
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 284.21 284.21 284.21 284.21 1 -- -- 10.41
Annual 12/1/21 261.93 298.10 227.00 261.95 7 1 -- 9.39
Annual 12/1/20 135.86 182.10 98.74 131.15 6 -- 1 -2.77
Quarterly 3/1/21 35.21 37.00 33.41 35.21 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -19.55 0.80 -50.00 -17.00 7 -- -- 3.96
Quarterly 9/1/20 55.18 79.00 21.46 65.00 7 -- -- -5.63
Quarterly 12/1/20 126.69 146.00 118.86 121.49 7 -- -- -0.81

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 288.98 294.17 -1.76
Annual 12/1/18 295.45 281.81 4.84
Annual 12/1/17 279.70 272.43 2.67
Quarterly 3/1/20 -34.76 15.67 -321.84
Quarterly 12/1/19 123.52 128.77 -4.08
Quarterly 9/1/19 83.14 77.48 7.30
Quarterly 6/1/19 42.99 37.46 14.76

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 33.03
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 28.21 28.21 28.21 28.21 1 -- -- 2.94
Annual 12/1/21 25.23 25.23 25.23 25.23 1 -- -- 1.88
Annual 12/1/20 13.64 15.94 11.33 13.64 2 -- -- 3.11

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 33.03 32.55 0.48
Annual 12/1/18 34.22 33.25 0.97
Annual 12/1/17 34.00 32.75 1.25

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,519.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 3,509.48 3,509.48 3,509.48 3,509.48 1 -- -- 0.42
Annual 12/1/21 3,462.14 3,586.00 3,298.20 3,476.38 7 1 -- 1.55
Annual 12/1/20 3,110.53 3,319.00 2,984.31 3,067.00 7 -- -- -0.78
Quarterly 3/1/21 769.48 819.95 719.00 769.48 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 483.88 577.00 433.20 470.80 7 -- -- -1.19
Quarterly 9/1/20 850.16 934.00 773.92 877.00 7 -- -- -1.64
Quarterly 12/1/20 1,121.97 1,153.00 1,095.82 1,125.10 7 -- -- -0.40

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3,519.29 3,516.84 0.07
Annual 12/1/18 3,462.27 3,450.15 0.35
Annual 12/1/17 3,400.41 3,399.41 0.03
Quarterly 3/1/20 654.47 674.90 -3.03
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,100.52 1,098.06 0.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 943.32 935.78 0.81
Quarterly 6/1/19 734.38 730.27 0.56

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