earnings estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.1

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 1.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 13.53
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 33.03
Yield (%): 1.76

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.66 8.54 6.88 7.62 4 1 -- 2.17
Annual 12/1/20 7.20 7.61 6.53 7.23 10 5 1 1.52
Annual 12/1/19 6.62 6.71 6.25 6.66 10 6 2 0.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.72 0.77 0.65 0.70 10 -- 7 -15.14
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.97 1.16 0.85 0.97 9 6 1 3.30
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.85 1.93 1.74 1.89 9 6 1 4.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.09 3.24 2.90 3.10 9 6 -- 9.54
Long Term Growth 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.29 6.03 4.25
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.64 2.15
Annual 12/1/16 5.14 5.04 2.06
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.84 2.56 10.89
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.61 1.73 -6.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 0.56 39.84
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.09 0.98 11.22

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.05
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 21.29 23.77 18.82 21.29 2 -- -- -10.69
Annual 12/1/20 20.20 21.74 18.66 20.20 2 -- 2 -0.12
Annual 12/1/19 19.31 20.08 18.54 19.31 2 -- 2 -0.62
Quarterly 3/1/19 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 19.34 19.34 19.34 19.34 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 23.15 23.15 23.15 23.15 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/19 18.54 18.54 18.54 18.54 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 19.05 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 18.17 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 16.10 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 19.05 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 17.62 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 17.40 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 18.14 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.63
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 9.51 9.96 9.05 9.51 2 -- -- -3.61
Annual 12/1/20 9.21 9.71 8.64 9.29 3 1 1 0.62
Annual 12/1/19 8.51 8.68 8.29 8.56 3 2 1 1.14
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.00 1.26 0.75 1.00 2 -- 2 -16.43
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.11 1.37 0.86 1.11 2 2 -- 2.25
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.08 2.26 1.91 2.08 2 2 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.35 3.42 3.27 3.35 2 2 -- 11.04

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 7.63 7.57 0.80
Annual 12/1/17 6.85 7.58 -9.62
Annual 12/1/16 7.33 6.27 16.86
Quarterly 12/1/18 7.31 4.01 82.51
Quarterly 9/1/18 -1.76 1.56 -212.77
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.83 0.52 58.30
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.35 2.65 -49.13

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.15 2.40 1.81 2.24 3 -- 1 -15.30
Annual 12/1/20 2.02 2.18 1.81 2.00 5 1 1 -1.54
Annual 12/1/19 1.96 2.00 1.81 2.00 5 3 -- 1.17
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.49 0.50 0.45 0.50 4 2 -- 0.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.49 0.50 0.45 0.50 4 2 -- 0.51
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.49 0.50 0.45 0.50 4 2 -- 0.51
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.49 0.50 0.45 0.50 4 2 -- 0.51

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1.48 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.32 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.45 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 407.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 423.04 433.79 413.32 422.00 3 -- 1 -0.93
Annual 12/1/20 434.29 458.00 399.29 440.00 8 4 3 0.69
Annual 12/1/19 416.34 425.30 393.87 420.50 8 3 5 0.10
Quarterly 3/1/19 50.25 53.00 47.00 50.25 8 -- 7 -17.21
Quarterly 6/1/19 65.81 78.60 57.13 67.15 8 6 1 5.80
Quarterly 9/1/19 116.54 122.00 110.05 117.65 8 7 -- 1.03
Quarterly 12/1/19 183.73 192.00 175.37 185.09 8 6 -- 3.33

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 407.30 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 444.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 431.40 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 170.50 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 107.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 56.97 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 72.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 495.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 510.65 520.32 503.00 508.62 3 -- 1 -1.04
Annual 12/1/20 515.14 536.69 493.36 515.91 6 4 1 -0.02
Annual 12/1/19 501.81 514.00 486.63 504.24 6 5 1 0.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 72.35 74.52 71.17 71.85 4 -- 4 -23.33
Quarterly 6/1/19 86.81 90.72 80.32 88.10 4 4 -- 5.07
Quarterly 9/1/19 137.46 143.50 133.00 136.67 4 4 -- 1.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 203.95 211.74 196.00 204.03 4 3 -- 4.51

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 495.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 529.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 502.92 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 193.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 129.50 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 77.80 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 95.20 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.62 7.75 7.48 7.62 2 1 -- 2.43
Annual 12/1/20 7.22 7.36 7.09 7.20 5 3 -- 1.30
Annual 12/1/19 6.66 6.70 6.58 6.68 5 4 1 1.02
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.72 0.76 0.70 0.71 5 -- 4 -24.65
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.01 1.18 0.85 1.01 5 4 -- 10.29
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.84 1.89 1.77 1.84 5 3 1 2.88
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.10 3.24 2.96 3.08 5 3 -- 7.54

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 6.24 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 5.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.83 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.53 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.89 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 423.19
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 411.83 465.23 366.25 404.00 3 1 -- 4.16
Annual 12/1/20 418.22 460.39 396.00 398.26 3 1 2 -5.79
Annual 12/1/19 416.56 456.78 375.00 417.90 3 1 2 -6.08
Quarterly 3/1/19 443.52 455.05 432.00 443.52 2 1 1 -4.85
Quarterly 6/1/19 452.31 455.63 449.00 452.31 2 1 1 -5.97
Quarterly 9/1/19 521.10 586.00 456.20 521.10 2 1 1 -7.58
Quarterly 12/1/19 415.89 456.78 375.00 415.89 2 1 1 -4.21

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 423.19 466.35 -9.26
Annual 12/1/17 438.81 447.92 -2.03
Annual 12/1/16 281.02 308.60 -8.94
Quarterly 12/1/18 423.19 482.76 -12.34
Quarterly 9/1/18 674.12 495.80 35.97
Quarterly 6/1/18 499.58 464.67 7.51
Quarterly 3/1/18 437.29 428.04 2.16

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 295.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 307.90 315.08 299.63 309.00 3 -- 1 0.46
Annual 12/1/20 313.82 331.60 288.54 314.00 8 4 1 1.22
Annual 12/1/19 298.46 308.30 280.66 299.50 8 5 2 0.39
Quarterly 3/1/19 32.77 35.00 30.00 32.65 8 -- 6 -20.47
Quarterly 6/1/19 44.32 54.00 38.10 45.40 8 6 -- 6.82
Quarterly 9/1/19 83.03 86.60 78.21 83.38 8 5 1 1.21
Quarterly 12/1/19 138.34 142.42 129.98 140.20 8 5 -- 4.39

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 295.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 279.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 261.10 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 130.92 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 74.74 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 36.99 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 51.56 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 34.22
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 34.60 36.58 33.60 33.61 3 1 -- 5.26
Annual 12/1/20 33.84 34.94 32.60 33.97 3 2 1 0.64
Annual 12/1/19 33.47 33.88 32.60 33.71 4 1 2 0.54
Quarterly 3/1/19 17.79 19.80 15.77 17.79 2 -- 2 -27.72
Quarterly 6/1/19 22.31 25.80 18.81 22.31 2 2 -- 2.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 37.35 41.30 33.40 37.35 2 1 1 -3.83
Quarterly 12/1/19 55.55 65.29 45.80 55.55 2 1 -- 0.40

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 34.22 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 34.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 31.40 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 15.58 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.87 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 17.77 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 24.08 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,462.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,659.16 3,706.00 3,626.47 3,645.02 3 -- 1 -0.91
Annual 12/1/20 3,616.04 3,679.50 3,534.30 3,624.09 8 2 4 -0.34
Annual 12/1/19 3,522.88 3,541.74 3,491.52 3,520.30 8 1 7 -0.54
Quarterly 3/1/19 723.78 731.72 716.00 723.30 8 -- 7 -2.91
Quarterly 6/1/19 728.95 741.00 712.40 730.95 8 4 3 0.79
Quarterly 9/1/19 955.67 965.90 950.20 955.15 8 4 3 0.18
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,114.24 1,131.00 1,091.77 1,117.61 8 6 -- 0.55

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,462.27 3,450.15 0.35
Annual 12/1/17 3,400.41 3,399.41 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 3,199.18 3,185.23 0.44
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,086.38 1,074.31 1.12
Quarterly 9/1/18 923.91 944.39 -2.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 696.20 683.97 1.79
Quarterly 3/1/18 755.79 744.22 1.55

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