earnings estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.08

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.00
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 16.87
Yield (%): 2.12

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.56 8.37 6.90 7.50 6 1 -- 0.20
Annual 12/1/20 7.14 7.62 6.43 7.19 12 3 1 0.26
Annual 12/1/19 6.64 6.73 6.50 6.66 12 2 -- 0.10
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.95 1.02 0.80 0.97 8 2 -- 0.77
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.00 1.06 0.89 1.01 8 1 1 0.04
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.70 1.74 1.67 1.70 12 2 -- 0.14
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.13 3.21 2.99 3.15 11 2 1 0.08
Long Term Growth 6.85 7.90 5.80 6.85 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.29 6.03 4.25
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.64 2.15
Annual 12/1/16 5.14 5.04 2.06
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 0.81 17.10
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.87 0.72 21.55
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.84 2.56 10.89
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.61 1.73 -6.70

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.05
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 21.70 24.21 18.55 22.33 3 -- 1 -0.35
Annual 12/1/20 20.69 22.21 18.58 21.28 3 -- 1 -0.34
Annual 12/1/19 19.56 20.35 18.64 19.68 3 -- 1 -0.15
Quarterly 3/1/20 18.54 18.54 18.54 18.54 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 19.77 19.77 19.77 19.77 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 23.03 23.03 23.03 23.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 18.64 18.64 18.64 18.64 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 19.05 18.62 2.31
Annual 12/1/17 18.17 18.08 0.46
Annual 12/1/16 16.10 16.18 -0.47
Quarterly 6/1/19 18.45 19.70 -6.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 18.72 17.99 4.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 19.05 17.95 6.13
Quarterly 9/1/18 17.62 20.82 -15.37

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.63
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 9.46 10.04 9.07 9.27 3 1 -- 0.32
Annual 12/1/20 9.07 9.52 8.49 9.14 4 1 1 -0.08
Annual 12/1/19 8.50 8.65 8.29 8.52 4 1 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.12 1.43 0.81 1.12 3 1 -- 1.51
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.33 1.59 0.90 1.51 3 -- 1 -1.24
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.96 2.23 1.70 1.96 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.28 3.52 3.05 3.28 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 7.63 7.57 0.80
Annual 12/1/17 6.85 7.58 -9.62
Annual 12/1/16 7.33 6.27 16.86
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.50 1.08 39.47
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.82 0.99 -17.55
Quarterly 12/1/18 7.31 4.01 82.51
Quarterly 9/1/18 -1.76 1.56 -212.77

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.35 2.43 2.27 2.35 4 1 -- 1.07
Annual 12/1/20 2.11 2.21 2.00 2.14 6 1 -- 0.40
Annual 12/1/19 2.00 2.02 1.98 2.00 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.53 0.56 0.50 0.54 5 1 -- 0.38
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.53 0.55 0.50 0.54 5 1 -- 0.38
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 5 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1.80 1.80 -0.09
Annual 12/1/17 1.48 1.48 --
Annual 12/1/16 1.32 1.26 4.50
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.20
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.50 0.49 2.25
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.45 0.45 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.45 0.45 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 407.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 432.10 461.00 396.84 431.04 6 1 1 -0.02
Annual 12/1/20 429.62 450.80 386.18 436.46 10 2 1 0.27
Annual 12/1/19 416.19 423.00 405.26 417.21 10 2 1 0.10
Quarterly 3/1/20 62.53 67.00 53.58 63.30 8 2 1 0.69
Quarterly 6/1/20 64.57 70.20 58.10 64.92 8 2 1 0.19
Quarterly 9/1/19 108.37 120.00 104.00 107.15 10 2 -- 0.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 184.44 189.00 176.62 186.15 10 2 1 0.10

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 407.30 397.69 2.42
Annual 12/1/17 444.80 440.95 0.87
Annual 12/1/16 431.40 424.14 1.71
Quarterly 6/1/19 63.80 56.15 13.62
Quarterly 3/1/19 60.30 49.94 20.75
Quarterly 12/1/18 170.50 161.00 5.90
Quarterly 9/1/18 107.10 112.42 -4.73

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 495.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 511.03 522.00 483.66 519.22 4 1 -- 0.26
Annual 12/1/20 516.60 544.10 471.79 517.00 7 1 1 0.02
Annual 12/1/19 504.85 513.00 492.20 506.00 7 1 1 0.04
Quarterly 3/1/20 88.05 90.29 83.26 88.50 5 1 1 0.68
Quarterly 6/1/20 87.88 93.30 84.20 87.21 5 1 1 -0.64
Quarterly 9/1/19 129.65 132.48 127.70 129.00 5 1 -- 0.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 206.96 212.00 200.38 206.00 5 1 1 0.08

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 495.50 482.27 2.74
Annual 12/1/17 529.20 520.27 1.72
Annual 12/1/16 502.92 494.26 1.75
Quarterly 6/1/19 86.80 78.79 10.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 84.10 72.40 16.17
Quarterly 12/1/18 193.10 181.36 6.47
Quarterly 9/1/18 129.50 130.49 -0.76

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.30 7.55 6.90 7.45 3 1 -- 0.41
Annual 12/1/20 7.08 7.31 6.43 7.20 6 1 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 6.54 6.62 6.40 6.55 6 1 1 0.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.96 1.02 0.80 0.99 5 1 -- 1.05
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.98 1.06 0.89 0.99 5 -- 1 -1.21
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.70 1.74 1.67 1.69 6 1 -- 0.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.14 3.22 3.03 3.14 6 1 1 0.05

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.00 5.78 3.87
Annual 12/1/17 6.24 5.65 10.44
Annual 12/1/16 5.08 5.03 0.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.97 0.82 18.78
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.75 0.71 5.39
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.83 2.56 10.37
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.53 1.70 -10.21

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 423.19
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 436.84 478.30 412.70 419.53 3 1 -- 0.78
Annual 12/1/20 434.50 469.40 412.70 421.41 3 1 -- 0.59
Annual 12/1/19 441.73 461.45 429.90 433.84 3 1 -- 0.49
Quarterly 3/1/20 463.44 463.44 463.44 463.44 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 465.42 465.42 465.42 465.42 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 459.70 459.70 459.70 459.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 461.45 461.45 461.45 461.45 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 423.19 466.35 -9.26
Annual 12/1/17 438.81 447.92 -2.03
Annual 12/1/16 281.02 308.60 -8.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 485.92 452.31 7.43
Quarterly 3/1/19 465.13 443.52 4.87
Quarterly 12/1/18 423.19 482.76 -12.34
Quarterly 9/1/18 674.12 495.80 35.97

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 295.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 300.62 314.00 285.37 301.56 4 1 -- 0.34
Annual 12/1/20 307.83 327.00 275.87 313.51 9 2 1 0.32
Annual 12/1/19 296.69 304.30 289.94 296.00 9 2 1 0.11
Quarterly 3/1/20 41.34 45.00 34.88 42.31 6 2 -- 1.11
Quarterly 6/1/20 43.35 46.70 38.45 43.74 6 1 1 0.12
Quarterly 9/1/19 77.92 87.00 74.40 76.37 9 2 -- 0.22
Quarterly 12/1/19 138.21 145.00 132.14 139.00 9 1 1 0.01

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 295.45 281.81 4.84
Annual 12/1/17 279.70 272.43 2.67
Annual 12/1/16 261.10 254.68 2.52
Quarterly 6/1/19 42.99 37.46 14.76
Quarterly 3/1/19 39.29 32.50 20.90
Quarterly 12/1/18 130.92 117.78 11.16
Quarterly 9/1/18 74.74 80.87 -7.58

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 34.22
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 33.55 38.04 31.30 31.31 3 -- -- 0.60
Annual 12/1/20 33.22 35.96 31.00 32.70 3 -- -- 0.61
Annual 12/1/19 33.62 34.80 32.60 33.54 4 -- -- 0.13
Quarterly 3/1/20 16.43 16.43 16.43 16.43 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 37.03 37.03 37.03 37.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 61.39 61.39 61.39 61.39 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 34.22 33.25 0.97
Annual 12/1/17 34.00 32.75 1.25
Annual 12/1/16 31.40 27.26 4.14
Quarterly 6/1/19 20.51 21.75 -1.24
Quarterly 3/1/19 18.29 17.58 0.72
Quarterly 12/1/18 15.58 50.64 -35.06
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.87 37.91 -1.04

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,462.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,702.76 3,819.00 3,651.89 3,675.31 5 1 -- 0.05
Annual 12/1/20 3,637.84 3,695.68 3,559.85 3,635.80 10 3 1 0.14
Annual 12/1/19 3,530.56 3,548.00 3,517.80 3,530.45 10 1 1 0.01
Quarterly 3/1/20 769.16 787.87 749.31 768.10 8 2 -- 0.23
Quarterly 6/1/20 759.02 780.99 739.69 758.77 8 1 2 0.15
Quarterly 9/1/19 935.98 941.11 932.80 936.50 10 1 1 0.01
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,119.10 1,139.00 1,105.20 1,118.27 10 1 2 0.01

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,462.27 3,450.15 0.35
Annual 12/1/17 3,400.41 3,399.41 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 3,199.18 3,185.23 0.44
Quarterly 6/1/19 734.38 730.27 0.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 741.06 724.05 2.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,086.38 1,074.31 1.12
Quarterly 9/1/18 923.91 944.39 -2.17

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