earnings estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 1.48
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 14.68
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 31.27
Yield (%): 1.26

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 7.58 7.85 7.19 7.69 6 1 -- -0.40
Annual 12/1/19 7.04 7.26 6.76 7.10 11 -- 1 0.06
Annual 12/1/18 6.45 6.52 6.27 6.45 12 -- 2 -0.05
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.56 0.64 0.51 0.55 12 1 1 0.15
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.05 2.16 1.94 2.05 11 -- 2 -0.27
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.75 2.85 2.56 2.75 11 1 1 0.07
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.16 1.19 1.13 1.15 4 -- 1 -0.43
Long Term Growth 8.90 10.70 8.00 8.00 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.64 2.15
Annual 12/1/16 5.14 5.04 2.06
Annual 12/1/15 4.61 4.50 2.40
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.09 0.98 11.22
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.32 2.20 5.55
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.70 1.65 2.91
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.79 0.70 12.70

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.17
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 21.81 22.64 20.98 21.81 2 -- 1 3.82
Annual 12/1/19 20.45 21.36 19.55 20.45 2 -- 1 4.44
Annual 12/1/18 19.18 19.84 18.51 19.18 2 -- 1 3.46
Quarterly 6/1/18 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 1 -- 1 -0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 21.17 21.17 21.17 21.17 1 -- 1 -0.23
Quarterly 12/1/18 18.51 18.51 18.51 18.51 1 -- 1 -0.09
Quarterly 3/1/19 19.88 19.88 19.88 19.88 1 1 -- -0.28

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.17 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 16.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 18.14 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 18.17 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 16.28 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.85
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 9.84 10.01 9.66 9.84 2 1 -- 1.76
Annual 12/1/19 8.87 9.08 8.64 8.88 3 -- 1 -0.23
Annual 12/1/18 7.67 8.38 6.45 8.17 3 -- 1 -0.09
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.52 1.08 -0.09 0.58 3 -- 1 -1.27
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.81 2.48 0.83 2.11 3 -- 1 8.43
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.48 4.39 2.77 3.28 3 1 -- -10.21
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.85 4.06 1.63 2.85 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.85 7.58 -9.62
Annual 12/1/16 7.33 6.27 16.86
Annual 12/1/15 5.88 5.31 10.73
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.35 2.65 -49.13
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.47 4.03 10.79
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.48 -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.48
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2.14 2.38 1.82 2.17 4 -- -- -4.94
Annual 12/1/19 1.96 2.08 1.80 1.99 6 -- -- -1.41
Annual 12/1/18 1.80 1.82 1.80 1.80 6 -- -- 0.18
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.49 0.52 0.45 0.50 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.48 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.32 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 0.88 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.37 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.37 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.37 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 444.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 475.58 487.00 452.00 479.81 5 1 -- -0.50
Annual 12/1/19 448.66 472.20 426.20 449.95 9 -- 1 -0.00
Annual 12/1/18 421.11 428.60 403.00 421.87 10 -- 1 -0.03
Quarterly 6/1/18 42.24 45.58 37.90 42.00 10 1 -- 0.40
Quarterly 9/1/18 131.97 135.40 126.39 132.94 10 -- 1 -0.08
Quarterly 12/1/18 174.03 180.00 158.30 175.10 10 -- 1 -0.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 77.76 79.69 76.60 77.00 3 2 -- 5.08

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 444.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 431.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 401.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 72.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 167.40 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 131.20 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 64.50 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 529.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 555.93 573.51 533.00 561.28 3 1 -- -0.95
Annual 12/1/19 529.24 546.08 511.00 532.93 7 -- 1 -0.00
Annual 12/1/18 503.75 521.30 485.50 503.09 8 -- 1 -0.03
Quarterly 6/1/18 59.33 67.17 43.46 60.84 6 1 -- 0.51
Quarterly 9/1/18 151.01 159.10 134.42 152.76 6 -- 1 -0.11
Quarterly 12/1/18 190.34 202.70 171.70 194.55 6 -- 1 -0.19
Quarterly 3/1/19 99.26 102.51 96.00 99.27 3 2 -- 4.64

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 529.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 502.92 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 462.98 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 95.20 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 189.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 153.50 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 86.90 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.24
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 7.55 7.85 7.24 7.55 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 7.02 7.16 6.76 7.06 6 -- 2 -0.50
Annual 12/1/18 6.29 6.30 6.26 6.29 4 -- 2 -0.76
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.61 0.89 0.51 0.56 7 1 1 0.23
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.07 2.14 2.04 2.06 7 -- 1 -0.14
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.73 2.81 2.56 2.75 6 -- 1 -0.18
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.16 1.19 1.13 1.16 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.24 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 5.08 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 4.50 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.89 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.84 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.71 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.78 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 438.81
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 399.65 443.09 362.00 393.87 3 -- -- 5.43
Annual 12/1/19 418.93 426.42 414.36 416.00 3 -- -- 0.89
Annual 12/1/18 425.90 432.85 417.00 427.85 3 -- -- 0.82
Quarterly 6/1/18 464.67 496.00 433.33 464.67 2 -- 1 -0.11
Quarterly 9/1/18 477.30 524.00 430.59 477.30 2 -- 1 0.63
Quarterly 12/1/18 422.43 427.85 417.00 422.43 2 1 -- 1.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 424.24 424.48 424.00 424.24 2 1 -- 4.60

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 438.81 447.92 -2.03
Annual 12/1/16 281.02 308.60 -8.94
Annual 12/1/15 203.22 205.75 -1.23
Quarterly 3/1/18 437.29 428.04 2.16
Quarterly 12/1/17 438.81 434.88 0.90
Quarterly 9/1/17 581.70 491.13 18.44
Quarterly 6/1/17 488.28 485.00 0.68

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 279.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 341.74 353.00 323.00 345.47 4 1 -- -0.41
Annual 12/1/19 323.15 341.10 308.00 323.66 9 -- 2 -0.10
Annual 12/1/18 302.62 307.30 292.60 303.00 10 -- 2 -0.07
Quarterly 6/1/18 26.80 29.94 24.00 26.65 10 1 1 0.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 95.94 99.30 92.29 96.45 10 -- 2 -0.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 128.16 132.00 117.50 129.53 10 1 1 -0.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 53.30 54.94 52.00 52.96 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 279.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 261.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 243.60 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 51.56 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 111.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 82.20 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 38.60 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 34.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 34.69 37.49 31.10 35.49 3 1 -- 1.15
Annual 12/1/19 34.32 36.26 32.00 34.71 3 1 -- 0.57
Annual 12/1/18 33.42 35.55 30.80 33.72 5 -- 1 -0.05
Quarterly 6/1/18 15.56 16.70 14.41 15.56 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 44.02 50.44 37.60 44.02 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 52.04 59.18 44.90 52.04 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 26.00 26.00 26.00 26.00 1 1 -- -2.31

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 34.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 31.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 29.32 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 24.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 54.51 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 20.29 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,400.41
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3,792.72 3,890.32 3,707.00 3,786.78 4 -- 1 -0.35
Annual 12/1/19 3,637.60 3,697.80 3,563.00 3,634.80 9 1 -- 0.01
Annual 12/1/18 3,492.83 3,507.70 3,468.00 3,492.51 10 -- -- 0.01
Quarterly 6/1/18 683.97 689.50 679.50 683.90 10 -- -- 0.06
Quarterly 9/1/18 982.55 999.10 971.00 982.86 10 -- -- 0.05
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,070.51 1,089.55 1,050.00 1,068.05 10 -- -- -0.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 787.59 796.36 779.00 787.49 4 -- 1 0.20

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3,400.41 3,399.41 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 3,199.18 3,185.23 0.44
Annual 12/1/15 3,013.88 3,001.45 0.41
Quarterly 3/1/18 755.79 744.22 1.55
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,027.31 1,026.38 0.09
Quarterly 9/1/17 948.23 949.68 -0.15
Quarterly 6/1/17 692.12 681.15 1.61

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