earnings estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.25

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.00
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 16.87
Yield (%): 2.30

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.55 8.37 6.90 7.46 6 -- 4 -1.88
Annual 12/1/20 7.13 7.62 6.43 7.19 12 1 7 -1.04
Annual 12/1/19 6.63 6.73 6.50 6.65 12 4 3 -0.06
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.94 1.02 0.80 0.95 8 3 3 -0.56
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.00 1.06 0.89 1.00 8 6 -- 11.89
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.69 1.74 1.67 1.69 12 -- 11 -9.34
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.13 3.21 3.01 3.15 11 8 3 0.90
Long Term Growth 6.63 7.90 5.36 6.63 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.29 6.03 4.25
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.64 2.15
Annual 12/1/16 5.14 5.04 2.06
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 0.81 17.10
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.87 0.72 21.55
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.84 2.56 10.89
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.61 1.73 -6.70

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.05
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 21.78 24.44 18.57 22.33 3 -- 3 -3.00
Annual 12/1/20 20.77 22.42 18.60 21.28 3 -- 3 -1.90
Annual 12/1/19 19.59 20.44 18.65 19.68 3 -- 3 -0.63
Quarterly 3/1/20 18.53 18.53 18.53 18.53 1 -- 1 -1.06
Quarterly 6/1/20 19.77 19.77 19.77 19.77 1 -- 1 -0.69
Quarterly 9/1/19 23.03 23.03 23.03 23.03 1 -- 1 -0.56
Quarterly 12/1/19 18.65 18.65 18.65 18.65 1 -- 1 -0.38

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 19.05 18.62 2.31
Annual 12/1/17 18.17 18.08 0.46
Annual 12/1/16 16.10 16.18 -0.47
Quarterly 6/1/19 18.45 19.70 -6.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 18.72 17.99 4.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 19.05 17.95 6.13
Quarterly 9/1/18 17.62 20.82 -15.37

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.63
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 9.44 9.95 9.07 9.29 3 1 2 -1.88
Annual 12/1/20 9.09 9.59 8.49 9.13 4 1 2 -1.67
Annual 12/1/19 8.50 8.64 8.30 8.53 4 -- 3 -1.25
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.10 1.43 0.81 1.07 3 1 2 -4.03
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.35 1.64 0.90 1.51 3 2 -- 18.07
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.96 2.23 1.70 1.96 2 -- 2 -7.47
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.29 3.53 3.05 3.29 2 1 1 -0.72

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 7.63 7.57 0.80
Annual 12/1/17 6.85 7.58 -9.62
Annual 12/1/16 7.33 6.27 16.86
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.50 1.08 39.47
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.82 0.99 -17.55
Quarterly 12/1/18 7.31 4.01 82.51
Quarterly 9/1/18 -1.76 1.56 -212.77

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.33 2.43 2.21 2.33 4 1 1 -0.64
Annual 12/1/20 2.10 2.21 2.00 2.12 6 2 -- 0.16
Annual 12/1/19 2.00 2.02 1.98 2.00 6 2 -- 0.17
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.53 0.56 0.50 0.53 5 -- -- -1.52
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.53 0.55 0.50 0.53 5 -- -- -1.43
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 5 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1.80 1.80 -0.09
Annual 12/1/17 1.48 1.48 --
Annual 12/1/16 1.32 1.26 4.50
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.20
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.50 0.49 2.25
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.45 0.45 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.45 0.45 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 407.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 432.37 461.00 396.84 431.61 6 -- 5 -0.94
Annual 12/1/20 428.58 450.80 386.18 434.00 10 -- 9 -1.61
Annual 12/1/19 415.90 423.00 406.27 417.00 10 2 7 -0.66
Quarterly 3/1/20 62.10 67.00 53.58 62.47 8 3 4 -0.86
Quarterly 6/1/20 64.45 70.20 58.10 64.93 8 4 1 9.39
Quarterly 9/1/19 108.16 120.00 104.00 106.80 10 -- 9 -7.77
Quarterly 12/1/19 184.36 189.00 176.62 185.59 10 4 5 -0.29

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 407.30 397.69 2.42
Annual 12/1/17 444.80 440.95 0.87
Annual 12/1/16 431.40 424.14 1.71
Quarterly 6/1/19 63.80 56.15 13.62
Quarterly 3/1/19 60.30 49.94 20.75
Quarterly 12/1/18 170.50 161.00 5.90
Quarterly 9/1/18 107.10 112.42 -4.73

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 495.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 510.01 522.00 483.66 517.19 4 -- 4 -1.90
Annual 12/1/20 516.65 544.10 471.79 517.00 7 1 5 -0.63
Annual 12/1/19 504.80 513.00 492.20 504.40 7 -- 6 -0.45
Quarterly 3/1/20 87.45 90.20 83.26 88.00 5 2 1 0.98
Quarterly 6/1/20 88.45 93.30 83.90 87.21 5 3 -- 8.46
Quarterly 9/1/19 129.53 131.84 127.70 129.00 5 -- 5 -7.50
Quarterly 12/1/19 207.00 212.00 201.39 206.00 5 3 2 0.47

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 495.50 482.27 2.74
Annual 12/1/17 529.20 520.27 1.72
Annual 12/1/16 502.92 494.26 1.75
Quarterly 6/1/19 86.80 78.79 10.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 84.10 72.40 16.17
Quarterly 12/1/18 193.10 181.36 6.47
Quarterly 9/1/18 129.50 130.49 -0.76

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.27 7.55 6.90 7.36 3 -- 2 -3.24
Annual 12/1/20 7.08 7.31 6.43 7.23 6 -- 4 -1.69
Annual 12/1/19 6.53 6.62 6.40 6.56 6 2 3 -0.28
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.95 1.02 0.80 0.99 5 2 2 -1.14
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.99 1.06 0.89 1.02 5 3 -- 10.04
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.70 1.74 1.67 1.69 6 -- 6 -9.44
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.13 3.22 3.03 3.14 6 4 2 0.27

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.00 5.78 3.87
Annual 12/1/17 6.24 5.65 10.44
Annual 12/1/16 5.08 5.03 0.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.97 0.82 18.78
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.75 0.71 5.39
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.83 2.56 10.37
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.53 1.70 -10.21

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 423.19
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 426.11 478.30 402.60 411.77 4 3 -- 4.32
Annual 12/1/20 422.95 469.40 396.00 413.21 4 3 -- 2.97
Annual 12/1/19 423.42 461.45 375.00 428.62 4 3 -- 1.37
Quarterly 3/1/20 463.44 463.44 463.44 463.44 1 1 -- 1.26
Quarterly 6/1/20 465.42 465.42 465.42 465.42 1 1 -- 1.49
Quarterly 9/1/19 522.85 586.00 459.70 522.85 2 1 -- 0.34
Quarterly 12/1/19 418.22 461.45 375.00 418.22 2 1 -- 0.56

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 423.19 466.35 -9.26
Annual 12/1/17 438.81 447.92 -2.03
Annual 12/1/16 281.02 308.60 -8.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 485.92 452.31 7.43
Quarterly 3/1/19 465.13 443.52 4.87
Quarterly 12/1/18 423.19 482.76 -12.34
Quarterly 9/1/18 674.12 495.80 35.97

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 295.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 299.82 314.00 285.37 299.96 4 -- 4 -2.06
Annual 12/1/20 307.74 327.00 275.87 311.38 10 2 6 -1.19
Annual 12/1/19 296.60 304.30 290.75 296.65 10 1 6 -0.23
Quarterly 3/1/20 39.90 45.00 34.00 40.45 7 3 2 -0.29
Quarterly 6/1/20 43.12 46.70 38.45 42.55 7 4 -- 10.10
Quarterly 9/1/19 78.48 87.00 74.40 76.08 10 -- 7 -6.65
Quarterly 12/1/19 138.65 145.00 132.94 138.75 10 4 2 0.27

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 295.45 281.81 4.84
Annual 12/1/17 279.70 272.43 2.67
Annual 12/1/16 261.10 254.68 2.52
Quarterly 6/1/19 42.99 37.46 14.76
Quarterly 3/1/19 39.29 32.50 20.90
Quarterly 12/1/18 130.92 117.78 11.16
Quarterly 9/1/18 74.74 80.87 -7.58

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 34.22
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 33.43 38.11 30.70 32.46 4 -- -- 0.12
Annual 12/1/20 32.93 36.03 31.00 32.35 4 -- -- -1.34
Annual 12/1/19 33.40 34.88 32.40 33.35 5 -- -- -0.01
Quarterly 3/1/20 16.43 16.43 16.43 16.43 1 -- -- -13.48
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 35.22 37.03 33.40 35.22 2 -- -- -4.54
Quarterly 12/1/19 53.60 61.39 45.80 53.60 2 -- -- -1.55

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 34.22 33.25 0.97
Annual 12/1/17 34.00 32.75 1.25
Annual 12/1/16 31.40 27.26 4.14
Quarterly 3/1/19 18.29 17.58 0.72
Quarterly 12/1/18 15.58 50.64 -35.06
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.87 37.91 -1.04

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,462.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,702.54 3,819.00 3,651.00 3,675.31 5 1 4 -0.21
Annual 12/1/20 3,633.54 3,693.00 3,566.97 3,632.65 10 2 7 -0.18
Annual 12/1/19 3,530.94 3,548.00 3,514.40 3,530.45 10 3 6 -0.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 767.39 781.26 749.31 765.98 8 4 2 0.30
Quarterly 6/1/20 757.89 774.00 739.69 760.42 8 5 1 1.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 935.87 941.11 932.80 935.94 10 -- 9 -1.99
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,119.61 1,139.00 1,101.80 1,118.27 10 7 2 0.68

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,462.27 3,450.15 0.35
Annual 12/1/17 3,400.41 3,399.41 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 3,199.18 3,185.23 0.44
Quarterly 6/1/19 734.38 730.27 0.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 741.06 724.05 2.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,086.38 1,074.31 1.12
Quarterly 9/1/18 923.91 944.39 -2.17

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