earnings estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.25

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.00
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 16.87
Yield (%): 2.13

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.75 8.48 7.14 7.77 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 7.22 7.62 6.77 7.23 12 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 6.64 6.73 6.53 6.66 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.95 1.03 0.90 0.94 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.81 0.83 0.79 0.82 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.87 1.94 1.81 1.86 11 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.11 3.22 2.96 3.13 11 -- -- --
Long Term Growth 6.39 7.40 5.38 6.39 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.29 6.03 4.25
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.64 2.15
Annual 12/1/16 5.14 5.04 2.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.87 0.72 21.55
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.84 2.56 10.89
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.61 1.73 -6.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 0.56 39.84

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.05
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 22.27 24.39 19.08 23.34 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 20.87 22.35 18.90 21.35 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 19.65 20.46 18.73 19.76 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 18.73 18.73 18.73 18.73 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 19.70 19.70 19.70 19.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 23.16 23.16 23.16 23.16 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 18.72 18.72 18.72 18.72 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 19.05 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 18.17 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 16.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 18.72 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 19.05 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 17.62 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 17.40 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.63
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 9.74 9.95 9.34 9.93 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 9.28 9.59 8.89 9.32 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 8.61 8.72 8.54 8.59 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.16 1.45 0.98 1.06 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.09 1.35 0.83 1.09 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.12 2.38 1.85 2.12 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.32 3.48 3.15 3.32 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 7.63 7.57 0.80
Annual 12/1/17 6.85 7.58 -9.62
Annual 12/1/16 7.33 6.27 16.86
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.82 0.99 -17.55
Quarterly 12/1/18 7.31 4.01 82.51
Quarterly 9/1/18 -1.76 1.56 -212.77
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.83 0.52 58.30

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.20 2.40 1.87 2.28 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.04 2.18 1.87 2.06 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1.98 2.01 1.87 2.00 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.53 0.54 0.50 0.53 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.49 0.50 0.45 0.50 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.49 0.50 0.45 0.50 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.49 0.50 0.45 0.50 5 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1.48 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.32 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.50 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.45 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 407.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 440.35 471.00 420.80 441.00 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 434.85 449.20 412.75 435.00 9 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 418.91 426.00 406.00 421.00 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 62.71 66.00 59.54 62.84 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 56.51 58.00 54.70 56.77 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 116.96 121.65 114.73 116.50 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 185.08 194.00 175.83 186.00 9 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 407.30 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 444.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 431.40 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 60.30 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 170.50 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 107.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 56.97 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 495.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 524.69 528.64 521.70 524.21 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 521.88 537.59 506.82 520.55 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 506.86 514.47 498.76 507.05 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 86.26 88.00 84.14 86.45 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 78.89 79.96 77.51 79.05 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 139.74 143.71 137.95 138.65 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 205.67 210.37 199.02 206.65 4 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 495.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 529.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 502.92 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 84.10 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 193.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 129.50 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 77.80 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 7.63 7.78 7.36 7.75 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 7.24 7.36 7.06 7.24 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 6.56 6.64 6.47 6.57 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.97 1.03 0.93 0.96 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 0.97 0.81 0.83 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.87 1.90 1.84 1.86 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.13 3.19 3.06 3.14 6 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 6.24 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 5.08 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.75 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.83 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.53 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 423.19
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 413.48 465.23 381.98 403.35 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 418.86 460.39 396.00 409.53 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 419.24 456.78 375.00 422.59 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 457.68 457.68 457.68 457.68 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 452.31 455.63 449.00 452.31 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 521.10 586.00 456.20 521.10 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 415.89 456.78 375.00 415.89 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 423.19 466.35 -9.26
Annual 12/1/17 438.81 447.92 -2.03
Annual 12/1/16 281.02 308.60 -8.94
Quarterly 3/1/19 465.13 443.52 4.87
Quarterly 12/1/18 423.19 482.76 -12.34
Quarterly 9/1/18 674.12 495.80 35.97
Quarterly 6/1/18 499.58 464.67 7.51

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 295.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 309.62 317.00 296.90 312.30 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 310.93 329.30 296.36 310.00 9 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 297.39 306.00 290.25 298.00 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 40.28 44.00 34.00 40.85 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 37.79 42.80 35.80 37.06 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 83.81 87.00 81.59 83.90 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 138.52 145.00 131.48 138.00 9 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 295.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 279.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 261.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 39.29 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 130.92 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 74.74 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 36.99 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 34.22
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 34.02 37.46 30.80 33.91 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 33.80 35.80 32.30 33.56 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 33.46 34.79 32.30 33.76 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 19.93 19.93 19.93 19.93 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 22.05 25.80 18.30 22.05 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 36.82 40.23 33.40 36.82 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 54.54 63.27 45.80 54.54 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 34.22 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 34.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 31.40 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 18.29 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 15.58 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.87 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 17.77 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,462.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,707.15 3,826.00 3,647.05 3,675.71 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3,637.26 3,707.00 3,554.65 3,641.07 10 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3,536.55 3,577.00 3,511.23 3,534.42 10 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 762.77 775.55 751.00 761.40 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 728.94 737.40 719.95 729.39 10 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 954.36 966.00 943.40 953.52 10 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,112.15 1,145.00 1,089.60 1,114.05 10 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,462.27 3,450.15 0.35
Annual 12/1/17 3,400.41 3,399.41 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 3,199.18 3,185.23 0.44
Quarterly 3/1/19 741.06 724.05 2.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,086.38 1,074.31 1.12
Quarterly 9/1/18 923.91 944.39 -2.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 696.20 683.97 1.79

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