earnings estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.10

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 2.40
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.07
Yield (%): 2.65

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 7.77 8.11 7.46 7.75 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 7.31 7.53 7.07 7.31 9 -- 3 -4.06
Annual 12/1/20 6.84 7.09 6.73 6.80 10 -- 7 -2.95
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.64 0.87 0.60 0.61 8 -- 6 -32.80
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.99 1.04 0.93 1.00 8 2 4 -2.48
Quarterly 9/1/20 2.03 2.12 1.96 2.03 8 6 -- 3.78
Quarterly 12/1/20 3.14 3.21 3.03 3.15 8 2 3 0.25
Long Term Growth 6.02 6.70 5.34 6.02 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 6.46 6.56 -1.56
Annual 12/1/18 6.29 6.03 4.25
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.64 2.15
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.81 2.89 -2.83
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.87 1.70 9.95
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 0.81 17.10
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.87 0.72 21.55

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 20.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 23.74 24.01 23.47 23.74 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 22.31 22.33 22.28 22.31 2 -- 1 -2.04
Annual 12/1/20 20.81 20.84 20.78 20.81 2 -- 1 -1.35

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 20.02 19.59 2.22
Annual 12/1/18 19.05 18.62 2.31
Annual 12/1/17 18.17 18.08 0.46

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 8.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 10.26 10.46 10.05 10.26 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 9.73 9.87 9.48 9.84 3 -- 1 0.10
Annual 12/1/20 9.08 9.35 8.88 9.01 3 -- 1 -1.38
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.82 0.88 0.75 0.82 2 -- 1 -20.49
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.32 1.63 1.01 1.32 2 1 -- 3.13
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.62 1.97 -0.73 0.62 2 1 -- 24.00
Quarterly 12/1/20 5.43 7.80 3.05 5.43 2 -- -- 77.87

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 8.70 8.76 -0.72
Annual 12/1/18 7.63 7.57 0.80
Annual 12/1/17 6.85 7.58 -9.62
Quarterly 12/1/19 7.13 2.90 145.86
Quarterly 9/1/19 -0.70 1.97 -135.56
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.50 1.08 39.47
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.82 0.99 -17.55

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 1.82 2.77 -- 2.68 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 2.47 2.58 2.40 2.43 3 1 -- 4.22
Annual 12/1/20 2.38 2.60 2.21 2.35 4 3 -- 13.62
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.60 0.65 0.56 0.60 3 2 -- 13.13
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.60 0.65 0.55 0.60 3 2 -- 13.21
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.60 0.65 0.55 0.60 3 2 -- 13.21
Quarterly 12/1/20 0.60 0.65 0.55 0.60 3 2 -- 13.21

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2.00 2.01 -0.25
Annual 12/1/18 1.80 1.80 -0.09
Annual 12/1/17 1.48 1.48 --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.50 0.50 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.20
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.20
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.50 0.49 2.25

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 401.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 418.51 432.02 405.00 418.51 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 425.27 450.00 403.90 423.00 7 -- 3 -2.97
Annual 12/1/20 409.73 426.00 395.40 410.55 8 -- 6 -4.42
Quarterly 3/1/20 46.68 62.00 33.70 44.42 8 -- 5 -26.33
Quarterly 6/1/20 64.67 69.00 60.70 64.10 8 1 4 -2.76
Quarterly 9/1/20 120.22 125.60 115.50 120.10 8 4 1 2.25
Quarterly 12/1/20 178.15 186.40 173.09 178.08 8 1 3 -1.11

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 401.00 408.43 -1.82
Annual 12/1/18 407.30 397.69 2.42
Annual 12/1/17 444.80 440.95 0.87
Quarterly 12/1/19 162.20 173.18 -6.34
Quarterly 9/1/19 114.67 108.65 5.54
Quarterly 6/1/19 63.80 56.15 13.62
Quarterly 3/1/19 60.30 49.94 20.75

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 497.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 516.49 519.98 513.00 516.49 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 511.20 515.20 506.80 511.60 3 -- 1 -0.80
Annual 12/1/20 502.23 512.50 493.30 501.56 4 -- 3 -2.79
Quarterly 3/1/20 64.24 68.00 57.90 66.81 3 -- 3 -28.54
Quarterly 6/1/20 88.07 89.32 87.20 87.70 3 2 1 0.75
Quarterly 9/1/20 144.64 146.00 143.80 144.11 3 3 -- 4.39
Quarterly 12/1/20 205.90 211.30 202.61 203.80 3 1 1 -1.15

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 497.10 494.77 0.47
Annual 12/1/18 495.50 482.27 2.74
Annual 12/1/17 529.20 520.27 1.72
Quarterly 12/1/19 188.00 197.14 -4.64
Quarterly 9/1/19 138.10 130.13 6.12
Quarterly 6/1/19 86.80 78.79 10.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 84.10 72.40 16.17

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.85
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 7.61 7.75 7.46 7.61 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 7.25 7.31 7.07 7.30 4 -- 1 -1.43
Annual 12/1/20 6.77 6.86 6.60 6.80 5 -- 4 -3.75
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.63 0.87 0.43 0.61 5 -- 3 -34.92
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.99 1.04 0.94 1.00 5 2 1 -1.25
Quarterly 9/1/20 2.02 2.13 1.96 2.02 5 3 -- 4.09
Quarterly 12/1/20 3.15 3.21 3.03 3.17 5 1 1 1.74

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 5.85 6.10 -4.10
Annual 12/1/18 6.00 5.78 3.87
Annual 12/1/17 6.24 5.65 10.44
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.82 2.89 -2.42
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.34 1.71 -21.41
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.97 0.82 18.78
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.75 0.71 5.39

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 380.36
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 371.83 420.15 323.50 371.83 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 384.55 422.60 346.50 384.55 2 -- 1 -3.09
Annual 12/1/20 406.02 439.43 372.60 406.02 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 380.36 416.62 -8.70
Annual 12/1/18 423.19 466.35 -9.26
Annual 12/1/17 438.81 447.92 -2.03

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 288.98
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 297.59 306.17 289.00 297.59 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 307.57 325.00 288.10 305.11 6 -- 1 -0.41
Annual 12/1/20 296.57 307.00 285.55 295.31 7 -- 5 -3.31
Quarterly 3/1/20 31.30 42.00 26.16 27.50 6 -- 3 -25.54
Quarterly 6/1/20 43.97 48.00 41.40 43.10 6 1 2 -2.22
Quarterly 9/1/20 87.26 93.80 83.22 86.47 6 2 1 3.11
Quarterly 12/1/20 134.61 140.80 127.05 134.63 6 1 1 0.72

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 288.98 294.17 -1.76
Annual 12/1/18 295.45 281.81 4.84
Annual 12/1/17 279.70 272.43 2.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 123.52 128.77 -4.08
Quarterly 9/1/19 83.14 77.48 7.30
Quarterly 6/1/19 42.99 37.46 14.76
Quarterly 3/1/19 39.29 32.50 20.90

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 33.03
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 32.43 33.46 31.40 32.43 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 32.74 33.47 32.00 32.74 2 -- -- -0.61
Annual 12/1/20 32.70 33.24 31.90 32.96 3 -- -- -2.59
Quarterly 3/1/20 17.78 17.78 17.78 17.78 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 33.03 32.55 0.48
Annual 12/1/18 34.22 33.25 0.97
Annual 12/1/17 34.00 32.75 1.25
Quarterly 12/1/19 58.37 58.21 0.16
Quarterly 9/1/19 40.54 37.28 3.26
Quarterly 6/1/19 20.51 21.75 -1.24
Quarterly 3/1/19 18.29 17.58 0.72

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,519.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 3,691.07 3,709.24 3,672.90 3,691.07 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 3,674.39 3,739.70 3,615.50 3,666.29 7 -- 2 -0.71
Annual 12/1/20 3,611.31 3,664.50 3,582.00 3,605.70 8 1 6 -0.40
Quarterly 3/1/20 746.92 765.43 740.00 743.30 8 -- 6 -2.59
Quarterly 6/1/20 750.90 767.30 742.00 750.60 8 1 5 -0.37
Quarterly 9/1/20 970.82 987.70 965.60 969.19 8 -- 6 -0.25
Quarterly 12/1/20 1,142.59 1,166.30 1,122.64 1,137.92 8 2 2 0.70

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3,519.29 3,516.84 0.07
Annual 12/1/18 3,462.27 3,450.15 0.35
Annual 12/1/17 3,400.41 3,399.41 0.03
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,100.52 1,098.06 0.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 943.32 935.78 0.81
Quarterly 6/1/19 734.38 730.27 0.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 741.06 724.05 2.35

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