earnings estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 1.48
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 8.22
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 30.92
Yield (%): 1.77

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 7.07 7.55 6.61 7.10 5 -- 2 --
Annual 12/1/19 6.58 6.83 6.26 6.64 10 -- 4 -0.10
Annual 12/1/18 6.04 6.08 5.97 6.05 10 -- 10 -6.23
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.57 2.60 2.48 2.57 10 -- 9 -11.34
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.10 1.17 1.04 1.09 5 1 3 -2.77
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 0.91 0.80 0.83 5 1 2 -0.49
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.78 1.82 1.70 1.79 5 -- 3 -5.59
Long Term Growth 8.30 8.30 8.30 8.30 1 -- 1 -25.30

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.64 2.15
Annual 12/1/16 5.14 5.04 2.06
Annual 12/1/15 4.61 4.50 2.40
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.61 1.73 -6.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 0.56 39.84
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.09 0.98 11.22
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.32 2.20 5.55

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.17
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 21.08 21.94 20.22 21.08 2 -- 2 -2.72
Annual 12/1/19 19.63 20.37 18.88 19.63 2 -- 2 -3.55
Annual 12/1/18 18.64 19.32 17.95 18.64 2 -- 2 -2.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 17.95 17.95 17.95 17.95 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 19.10 19.10 19.10 19.10 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 19.84 19.84 19.84 19.84 1 -- 1 -0.33
Quarterly 9/1/19 23.98 23.98 23.98 23.98 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.17 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 16.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 17.62 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 17.40 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 18.14 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 18.17 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.85
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 8.98 9.30 8.66 8.98 2 -- 2 -8.49
Annual 12/1/19 8.43 8.60 8.21 8.48 3 -- 3 -7.15
Annual 12/1/18 7.58 8.02 6.89 7.83 3 -- 3 -8.07
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.02 6.50 2.59 2.96 3 1 2 6.10
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.58 1 -- 1 -35.84
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1 -- 1 5.71
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 1 -- 1 8.75

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.85 7.58 -9.62
Annual 12/1/16 7.33 6.27 16.86
Annual 12/1/15 5.88 5.31 10.73
Quarterly 9/1/18 -1.76 1.56 -212.77
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.83 0.52 58.30
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.35 2.65 -49.13
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.47 4.03 10.79

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.48
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2.13 2.38 1.81 2.17 4 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 1.90 2.07 1.80 1.88 6 -- 2 --
Annual 12/1/18 1.80 1.81 1.80 1.80 6 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.48 0.50 0.45 0.49 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.48 0.50 0.45 0.49 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.48 0.50 0.45 0.49 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.48 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.32 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 0.88 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.37 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 444.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 432.43 461.00 406.12 430.44 5 -- 5 -7.49
Annual 12/1/19 421.73 446.70 396.06 424.78 8 -- 8 -4.45
Annual 12/1/18 400.24 417.00 389.83 399.15 8 -- 8 -4.47
Quarterly 12/1/18 163.04 176.00 153.56 162.31 8 -- 8 -8.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 74.51 80.00 71.77 73.14 4 1 3 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 59.19 63.00 55.67 59.04 4 1 3 -0.39
Quarterly 9/1/19 112.53 115.47 108.63 113.00 4 -- 3 --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 444.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 431.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 401.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 107.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 56.97 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 72.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 167.40 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 529.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 506.36 520.48 498.61 500.00 3 -- 3 -7.93
Annual 12/1/19 502.31 520.00 485.48 505.05 6 -- 6 -3.74
Annual 12/1/18 486.49 502.00 476.72 484.70 6 -- 6 -2.88
Quarterly 12/1/18 177.66 189.50 161.26 179.00 5 -- 5 -8.70
Quarterly 3/1/19 93.94 94.12 93.69 94.00 3 -- 3 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 79.21 82.61 77.00 78.02 3 -- 2 -1.72
Quarterly 9/1/19 133.30 137.91 130.99 131.00 3 -- 2 --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 529.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 502.92 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 462.98 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 129.50 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 77.80 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 95.20 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 189.70 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.24
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 7.04 7.10 6.97 7.04 2 -- 2 -7.32
Annual 12/1/19 6.61 6.72 6.50 6.66 5 -- 5 -6.29
Annual 12/1/18 5.79 5.83 5.76 5.77 3 -- 3 -8.12
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.58 2.60 2.56 2.57 5 -- 5 -11.57
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.11 1.13 1.08 1.11 2 -- 2 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.87 0.91 0.83 0.87 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.80 1.81 1.78 1.80 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.24 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 5.08 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 4.50 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.53 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.89 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.84 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 438.81
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 421.71 454.05 401.00 410.07 3 3 -- 6.74
Annual 12/1/19 432.57 455.95 410.00 431.76 3 2 1 2.58
Annual 12/1/18 466.47 519.00 433.88 446.52 3 3 -- 8.65
Quarterly 12/1/18 482.76 519.00 446.52 482.76 2 2 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 458.91 475.00 442.83 458.91 2 2 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 471.07 503.00 439.14 471.07 2 1 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 550.22 665.00 435.45 550.22 2 2 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 438.81 447.92 -2.03
Annual 12/1/16 281.02 308.60 -8.94
Annual 12/1/15 203.22 205.75 -1.23
Quarterly 9/1/18 674.12 495.80 35.97
Quarterly 6/1/18 499.58 464.67 7.51
Quarterly 3/1/18 437.29 428.04 2.16
Quarterly 12/1/17 438.81 434.88 0.90

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 279.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 311.48 340.00 295.07 305.43 4 -- 3 -7.74
Annual 12/1/19 302.55 319.00 283.48 303.90 8 -- 7 -5.00
Annual 12/1/18 286.91 303.00 277.42 283.31 8 -- 7 -4.72
Quarterly 12/1/18 121.87 134.00 114.08 119.61 8 -- 7 -7.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 50.63 52.00 49.63 50.44 4 -- 3 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 38.92 41.26 37.40 38.50 4 -- 2 -1.63
Quarterly 9/1/19 80.48 83.00 77.10 80.90 4 -- 2 --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 279.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 261.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 243.60 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 74.74 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 36.99 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 51.56 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 111.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 34.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 33.50 33.67 33.22 33.60 3 1 2 -5.01
Annual 12/1/19 33.35 33.81 32.43 33.80 3 -- 3 -4.70
Annual 12/1/18 33.28 35.10 32.30 32.86 4 1 3 -4.21
Quarterly 12/1/18 50.96 55.11 46.80 50.96 2 -- 2 -8.51
Quarterly 3/1/19 29.30 29.30 29.30 29.30 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 23.90 23.90 23.90 23.90 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 36.20 36.20 36.20 36.20 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 34.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 31.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 29.32 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.87 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 17.77 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 24.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 54.51 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,400.41
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3,666.03 3,796.00 3,577.74 3,645.18 4 -- 4 -3.13
Annual 12/1/19 3,574.36 3,621.70 3,491.55 3,571.47 8 1 7 -1.46
Annual 12/1/18 3,452.31 3,455.76 3,447.60 3,452.58 8 -- 8 -0.76
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,076.43 1,080.00 1,071.80 1,076.69 8 4 3 -0.54
Quarterly 3/1/19 777.71 795.00 767.11 774.33 5 1 3 -1.20
Quarterly 6/1/19 722.32 734.20 702.07 725.35 5 -- 4 -0.76
Quarterly 9/1/19 955.35 967.00 940.77 957.60 5 -- 3 -3.14

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3,400.41 3,399.41 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 3,199.18 3,185.23 0.44
Annual 12/1/15 3,013.88 3,001.45 0.41
Quarterly 9/1/18 923.91 944.39 -2.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 696.20 683.97 1.79
Quarterly 3/1/18 755.79 744.22 1.55
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,027.31 1,026.38 0.09

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