earnings estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 1.48
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 8.22
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 30.92
Yield (%): 1.66

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 6.92 7.12 6.61 6.96 6 -- 1 -1.41
Annual 12/1/19 6.53 6.67 6.26 6.57 10 -- 3 -0.69
Annual 12/1/18 6.03 6.07 5.97 6.04 10 -- 2 -0.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.60 2.48 2.57 10 -- 2 -0.27
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.06 1.17 0.78 1.09 7 -- 1 -3.47
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.87 1.00 0.80 0.86 7 1 -- 3.57
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.78 1.81 1.70 1.78 7 -- 1 -0.42
Long Term Growth 8.30 8.30 8.30 8.30 1 -- 1 -25.30

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.64 2.15
Annual 12/1/16 5.14 5.04 2.06
Annual 12/1/15 4.61 4.50 2.40
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.61 1.73 -6.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 0.56 39.84
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.09 0.98 11.22
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.32 2.20 5.55

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.17
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 21.01 21.79 20.22 21.01 2 -- 1 0.45
Annual 12/1/19 19.60 20.32 18.88 19.60 2 -- 1 0.08
Annual 12/1/18 18.62 19.29 17.95 18.62 2 -- 1 -0.11
Quarterly 12/1/18 17.95 17.95 17.95 17.95 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 19.10 19.10 19.10 19.10 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 19.84 19.84 19.84 19.84 1 -- 1 -0.33
Quarterly 9/1/19 23.98 23.98 23.98 23.98 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.17 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 16.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 17.62 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 17.40 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 18.14 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 18.17 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.85
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 8.89 9.12 8.66 8.89 2 -- 1 0.39
Annual 12/1/19 8.40 8.60 8.21 8.39 3 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 7.57 7.99 6.89 7.83 3 -- 1 -0.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.01 6.50 2.56 2.96 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.33 1.58 1.08 1.33 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.06 1.31 0.81 1.06 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.00 2.20 1.81 2.00 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.85 7.58 -9.62
Annual 12/1/16 7.33 6.27 16.86
Annual 12/1/15 5.88 5.31 10.73
Quarterly 9/1/18 -1.76 1.56 -212.77
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.83 0.52 58.30
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.35 2.65 -49.13
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.47 4.03 10.79

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.48
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2.07 2.38 1.80 2.16 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1.90 2.07 1.80 1.88 6 -- 2 --
Annual 12/1/18 1.80 1.81 1.80 1.80 6 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.47 0.50 0.45 0.47 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.47 0.50 0.45 0.47 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.47 0.50 0.45 0.47 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.48 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.32 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 0.88 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.37 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 444.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 432.65 461.00 406.12 427.00 7 -- 1 0.68
Annual 12/1/19 415.78 432.00 396.06 415.28 8 -- 3 -1.27
Annual 12/1/18 397.69 401.00 389.83 399.16 8 1 3 -0.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 161.00 165.00 153.56 162.31 8 -- 3 -1.30
Quarterly 3/1/19 71.05 80.00 54.00 72.27 7 -- -- -3.72
Quarterly 6/1/19 60.16 67.00 55.67 60.40 7 -- -- 2.36
Quarterly 9/1/19 112.98 116.50 108.63 112.25 7 -- -- 0.45

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 444.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 431.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 401.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 107.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 56.97 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 72.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 167.40 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 529.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 510.16 527.00 498.61 504.57 5 -- 1 1.64
Annual 12/1/19 498.40 521.00 485.48 492.91 6 1 2 -0.61
Annual 12/1/18 482.27 488.20 476.72 482.24 6 -- 3 -0.89
Quarterly 12/1/18 181.36 187.90 175.28 181.14 4 -- 1 1.99
Quarterly 3/1/19 94.85 97.60 93.69 94.06 4 -- -- 0.97
Quarterly 6/1/19 80.38 83.90 77.00 80.32 4 -- -- 1.46
Quarterly 9/1/19 134.62 138.60 130.99 134.46 4 -- -- 0.98

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 529.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 502.92 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 462.98 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 129.50 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 77.80 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 95.20 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 189.70 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.24
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 6.97 7.03 6.90 6.97 3 -- 1 0.81
Annual 12/1/19 6.56 6.72 6.40 6.54 5 -- 2 -0.43
Annual 12/1/18 5.78 5.83 5.74 5.76 3 -- 1 -0.23
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.59 2.53 2.57 5 -- 2 -0.55
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.10 1.13 1.07 1.09 4 -- -- 0.15
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 0.91 0.80 0.85 4 -- -- 0.39
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.79 1.81 1.77 1.79 4 -- -- -0.33

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.24 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 5.08 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 4.50 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.53 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.89 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.84 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 438.81
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 425.65 465.88 401.00 410.07 3 1 -- 0.16
Annual 12/1/19 433.53 458.83 410.00 431.76 3 1 -- 0.11
Annual 12/1/18 466.35 519.00 433.53 446.52 3 -- 1 0.02
Quarterly 12/1/18 482.76 519.00 446.52 482.76 2 2 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 458.91 475.00 442.83 458.91 2 2 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 471.07 503.00 439.14 471.07 2 1 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 550.22 665.00 435.45 550.22 2 2 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 438.81 447.92 -2.03
Annual 12/1/16 281.02 308.60 -8.94
Annual 12/1/15 203.22 205.75 -1.23
Quarterly 9/1/18 674.12 495.80 35.97
Quarterly 6/1/18 499.58 464.67 7.51
Quarterly 3/1/18 437.29 428.04 2.16
Quarterly 12/1/17 438.81 434.88 0.90

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 279.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 305.18 325.20 292.64 306.00 5 -- 1 -1.20
Annual 12/1/19 295.36 313.80 283.48 290.00 7 -- 3 -2.26
Annual 12/1/18 281.81 286.10 277.42 282.14 7 1 3 -1.81
Quarterly 12/1/18 117.78 120.40 114.08 118.00 7 -- 3 -3.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 47.77 51.50 36.00 49.75 6 -- -- -5.01
Quarterly 6/1/19 39.61 45.00 35.77 39.10 6 -- -- 1.81
Quarterly 9/1/19 80.25 82.30 77.10 80.50 6 -- -- 0.77

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 279.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 261.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 243.60 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 74.74 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 36.99 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 51.56 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 111.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 34.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 33.20 33.67 32.32 33.60 3 -- 1 -0.06
Annual 12/1/19 33.19 33.81 31.95 33.80 3 -- 1 -0.09
Annual 12/1/18 33.25 35.10 32.17 32.86 4 -- 1 -0.13
Quarterly 12/1/18 50.64 54.48 46.80 50.64 2 -- 1 -0.79
Quarterly 3/1/19 26.03 29.30 22.76 26.03 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 20.78 23.90 17.66 20.78 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 37.65 39.10 36.20 37.65 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 34.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 31.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 29.32 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.87 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 17.77 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 24.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 54.51 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,400.41
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3,647.45 3,796.00 3,577.74 3,627.99 6 -- 1 -0.22
Annual 12/1/19 3,560.27 3,621.70 3,491.55 3,558.55 8 -- 3 -0.30
Annual 12/1/18 3,450.15 3,455.76 3,440.00 3,452.11 8 -- 2 -0.06
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,074.31 1,080.00 1,064.50 1,076.16 8 -- 2 -0.18
Quarterly 3/1/19 772.96 795.00 738.00 774.33 7 -- 1 -0.48
Quarterly 6/1/19 723.67 742.00 702.07 725.35 7 1 -- 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/19 955.51 967.00 940.77 957.25 7 -- 1 -0.02

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3,400.41 3,399.41 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 3,199.18 3,185.23 0.44
Annual 12/1/15 3,013.88 3,001.45 0.41
Quarterly 9/1/18 923.91 944.39 -2.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 696.20 683.97 1.79
Quarterly 3/1/18 755.79 744.22 1.55
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,027.31 1,026.38 0.09

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