earnings estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.83

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.14
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: 1.26
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.57
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 29.47
Yield (%): 1.04

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 7.07 8.41 6.50 6.90 9 4 1 0.18
Annual 12/1/18 6.64 7.48 6.20 6.59 12 6 -- 1.39
Annual 12/1/17 5.64 5.70 5.60 5.63 12 2 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.20 2.24 2.15 2.20 12 2 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.19 1.27 1.09 1.18 9 3 -- 1.40
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.93 1.03 0.87 0.91 9 3 -- 1.56
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.05 2.24 1.88 2.04 9 3 -- 2.01
Long Term Growth 10.27 14.80 8.00 8.00 3 1 -- 11.36

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 5.14 5.04 2.06
Annual 12/1/15 4.61 4.50 2.40
Annual 12/1/14 3.93 3.88 1.34
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.70 1.65 2.91
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.79 0.70 12.70
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.97 0.84 15.61
Quarterly 12/1/16 1.79 1.67 7.01

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 16.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 20.78 20.78 20.78 20.78 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 19.28 19.28 19.28 19.28 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 18.08 18.08 18.08 18.08 1 1 -- 18.45
Quarterly 12/1/17 18.08 18.08 18.08 18.08 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 18.16 18.16 18.16 18.16 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 19.31 19.31 19.31 19.31 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 22.78 22.78 22.78 22.78 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 16.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 16.28 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 8.97 8.97 8.97 8.97 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 8.71 9.09 8.33 8.71 2 2 -- 2.78
Annual 12/1/17 7.58 7.93 7.23 7.58 2 1 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.03 5.58 2.49 4.03 2 1 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.48 1.62 1.34 1.48 2 2 -- 3.21
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.02 1.37 0.68 1.02 2 2 -- 2.35
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.14 2.44 -0.15 1.14 2 2 -- 6.47

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 7.33 6.27 16.86
Annual 12/1/15 5.88 5.31 10.73
Annual 12/1/14 5.32 4.31 23.43
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.48 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 1.72 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 5.13 2.28 125.49

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.32
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1.97 2.19 1.79 1.95 4 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 1.69 1.95 1.48 1.67 6 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.48 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.42 0.44 0.41 0.42 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.42 0.44 0.41 0.42 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.42 0.44 0.41 0.42 2 1 -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1.32 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 0.88 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 0.76 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.37 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.37 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.37 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.33 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 431.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 495.97 516.86 470.00 496.10 8 2 2 -0.13
Annual 12/1/18 466.37 490.00 448.00 465.11 10 2 3 -0.33
Annual 12/1/17 440.95 445.45 437.00 440.14 10 3 1 0.02
Quarterly 12/1/17 163.61 167.30 160.00 163.36 9 3 -- 0.07
Quarterly 3/1/18 84.83 87.40 80.39 85.49 7 -- 3 -0.84
Quarterly 6/1/18 66.36 70.30 61.12 66.47 7 -- 3 -0.97
Quarterly 9/1/18 137.52 140.50 133.00 137.90 7 -- 3 -0.22

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 431.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 401.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 359.30 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 131.20 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 64.50 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 80.10 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 142.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 502.92
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 577.44 608.62 551.00 572.00 5 2 2 -0.17
Annual 12/1/18 544.63 567.92 524.00 541.36 8 2 3 -0.36
Annual 12/1/17 520.27 527.21 512.91 521.31 7 3 1 0.03
Quarterly 12/1/17 183.40 189.40 178.49 184.10 5 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 105.81 108.00 103.00 106.13 4 -- 2 -0.24
Quarterly 6/1/18 86.13 92.00 82.00 85.26 4 -- 2 -1.16
Quarterly 9/1/18 158.48 162.00 155.00 158.46 4 -- 2 -0.16

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 502.92 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 462.98 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 417.79 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 153.50 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 86.90 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 100.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 161.14 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.08
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 6.74 6.82 6.65 6.74 2 1 -- 1.78
Annual 12/1/18 6.54 6.95 6.26 6.47 4 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 5.65 5.69 5.59 5.66 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.21 2.23 2.19 2.20 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.22 1.26 1.18 1.22 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.88 0.89 0.87 0.88 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.08 2.11 2.04 2.08 2 1 -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 5.08 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 4.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 3.62 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.71 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.95 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 1.76 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 281.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 396.91 537.00 302.61 351.12 3 1 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 407.04 451.00 372.01 398.11 3 -- 2 --
Annual 12/1/17 447.92 484.00 385.76 473.99 3 2 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 434.88 484.00 385.76 434.88 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 410.16 438.00 382.33 410.16 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 469.44 560.00 378.89 469.44 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 482.73 590.00 375.45 482.73 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 281.02 308.60 -8.94
Annual 12/1/15 203.22 205.75 -1.23
Annual 12/1/14 245.36 290.61 -15.57
Quarterly 9/1/17 581.70 491.13 18.44
Quarterly 6/1/17 488.28 485.00 0.68
Quarterly 3/1/17 427.34 270.00 58.28
Quarterly 12/1/16 281.02 315.00 -10.79

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 261.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 325.98 375.55 298.00 325.00 7 3 -- 2.16
Annual 12/1/18 306.96 347.69 282.00 304.20 10 4 -- 1.64
Annual 12/1/17 272.13 273.42 270.05 272.45 10 2 1 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/17 104.29 105.90 102.71 104.00 9 2 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 54.27 59.45 51.00 54.00 7 2 -- 0.95
Quarterly 6/1/18 41.63 44.75 39.00 41.20 7 2 -- 1.24
Quarterly 9/1/18 91.42 97.71 85.00 91.00 7 2 -- 1.45

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 261.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 243.60 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 208.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 82.20 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 38.60 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 47.23 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 88.70 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 31.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 37.97 40.10 35.83 37.97 2 2 -- 5.53
Annual 12/1/18 35.98 36.50 35.46 35.98 2 2 -- 3.20
Annual 12/1/17 32.75 34.60 30.00 33.20 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 44.50 44.50 44.50 44.50 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 32.20 32.20 32.20 32.20 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 25.50 25.50 25.50 25.50 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.20 40.20 40.20 40.20 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 31.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 29.32 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 28.06 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 20.29 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 24.22 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 45.36 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,199.18
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3,799.08 3,832.37 3,713.00 3,815.00 7 4 1 0.22
Annual 12/1/18 3,598.96 3,634.67 3,554.70 3,602.35 10 4 2 0.07
Annual 12/1/17 3,399.41 3,413.03 3,388.60 3,399.83 10 2 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,026.38 1,039.93 1,016.00 1,026.77 10 2 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 783.38 793.59 774.34 785.77 8 3 1 0.12
Quarterly 6/1/18 730.75 742.00 721.29 730.92 8 2 1 0.09
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,003.80 1,012.20 991.44 1,007.65 8 3 1 0.19

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3,199.18 3,185.23 0.44
Annual 12/1/15 3,013.88 3,001.45 0.41
Annual 12/1/14 2,893.87 2,879.57 0.50
Quarterly 9/1/17 948.23 949.68 -0.15
Quarterly 6/1/17 692.12 681.15 1.61
Quarterly 3/1/17 732.76 713.94 2.64
Quarterly 12/1/16 934.20 915.88 2.00

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